Introduction to Soccer Betting Techniques
Soccer betting strategies are essential for enhancing your betting endeavors, especially when utilizing proven statistical methods like the Footyforecast method. This article explores various techniques that can significantly improve your chances of success against bookmakers. By understanding these strategies, you can make informed decisions and increase your betting success.
Exploring the Footyforecast Method
The Footyforecast method, which made its debut in 1999 on the original Footyforecast platform (currently known as 1X2Monster.com), was originally developed for the English Football Pools. Its main objective is to eliminate matches that are unlikely to conclude in a draw, thereby simplifying your decision-making process when selecting games from a larger pool. This method has parallels with the Simple Sequence approach highlighted in another article in this series.
Calculating Forecast Values
To implement this method, adhere to the following steps for each team:
1. Tally the total points accrued over the last N matches.
2. Identify the maximum possible points for those matches.
3. Divide the total points by the maximum possible points and multiply the result by 100.
4. Calculate the forecast value.
In steps 1 and 2, N can represent all home games for the home team and all away games for the visiting team, or it can encompass the last N matches regardless of their home or away status.
Interpreting Your Results
The forecast value is calculated using these formulas: HOMEPOINTS = points earned by the home team in the last N matches; AWAYPOINTS = points earned by the away team in the last N matches; HOMEVAL = (HOMEPOINTS / (POINTSFORWIN * N)) * 100; AWAYVAL = (AWAYPOINTS / (POINTSFORWIN * N)) * 100; FORECAST = (HOMEVAL + (100 – AWAYVAL)) / 2. The resulting forecast value can be understood as follows: 1. A forecast value of 50 suggests a likely draw. 2. Values ranging from 50 to 100 indicate an increasing likelihood of a home victory as the value approaches 100. 3. Values between 50 and 0 suggest a growing chance of an away win as the value nears 0.
Practical Application Example
To provide clarity, let’s consider a scenario involving two teams, West Ham and Leeds United, examining their performances over their last four matches. West Ham’s results are as follows: H4 = 3 (oldest match), H3 = 1, H2 = 1, H1 = 0 (most recent match). Leeds United’s results are: A4 = 1 (oldest match), A3 = 3, A2 = 0, A1 = 3 (most recent match). Using only home matches for West Ham and away matches for Leeds, we compute: FFPHome = ((3 + 1 + 1 + 0) / 12) * 100 = 42; FFPAway = ((1 + 3 + 0 + 3) / 12) * 100 = 59; FFPForecast = (42 + (100 – 59)) / 2 = 42. Based on our threshold values of 40 and 60, the prediction suggests a likely draw but leans towards an away win, indicating a bet on either a draw or an away win (X2).
Experimenting with the Method
You are encouraged to modify your parameters, such as the number of matches analyzed or the thresholds established. You might choose to include all matches played by each team in your calculations or experiment with different thresholds. Evaluating actual results against the predictions generated by the Footyforecast method can yield valuable insights into its effectiveness. This experimentation can help refine your soccer betting strategies further.
Conclusion
Utilizing the Footyforecast method can significantly refine your soccer betting strategies. By experimenting with different parameters and analyzing outcomes, you can deepen your understanding of match predictions and enhance your betting success.